Alexandra Sternlicht has written an article this week for Fortune titled "How Silicon Valley’s retail revolution withered. Eight years after Allbirds and Glossier were born, VC investors say direct-to-consumer is dead." She quotes several investors, including Nicole Johnson, a partner at venture capital firm Forerunner.
“We’re a whole decade past where pursuing the DTC model was at the forefront of innovation and retail, or was interesting on its own,” Johnson says. A direct-to-consumer sales channel is just “table stakes” today, she says—a useful feature for a young consumer brand, but not a business model in its own right.
It’s a sentiment echoed by numerous VC investors that Fortune spoke to, reflecting significant changes that have altered the internet landscape, as well as the shifting mindset among private company investors at a time of economic uncertainty. If direct-to-consumer startups were once touted as the harbingers of a retail revolution, today they are viewed by VCs as relics of a different era.
I found the article quite thought-provoking, but I'm particularly interested in reflecting on the rationale that many executives and entrepreneurs use to support a DTC business model. Often, you will hear people say that the DTC model enables the startup to "capture the margin" otherwise obtained by the brick-and-mortar or e-commerce retailer. Of course, that thinking is DEEPLY flawed. Yes, you aren't giving away the "mark-up" to the retailer. However, you ARE spending a considerable amount of money on your own marketing to build brand awareness, since you don't have the assistance of the retailer. You have to find a way to distribute the product, and that "last mile" to the consumer's home can be quite expensive. Moreover, if you end up opening some of your own brick-and-mortar stores, as some of these startups have done, then you are investing heavily in assets and will have to generate sufficient additional profit to maintain a healthy return on those expensive assets. In short, the retailer does serve a very useful function for a nascent brand. This is not to say that I believe DTC business models are not viable. I'm simply arguing that entrepreneurs should not fool themselves into thinking there's easy money to capture by cutting out the retailer.
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